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El Juego de la Bolsa 1

511 comentarios / Por /

Este es el primer post de 2-3 sobre inversiones y bolsa.

Estamos viendo en los primeros meses del año cómo la bolas hace correcciones bastante fuertes para después recuperarse y seguir subiendo cumpliendo los objetivos alcistas fijados por los expertos.

Los que somos novatos y hemos metido algún ahorrillo en bolsa, nos asustamos cuando vemos que en una semana hemos perdido un 5-10% de nuestra inversión. Pero los analistas dicen que no hay que preocuparse porque son correcciones y la bolsa tiene un objetivo anual alcista. Es más, dicen que si esos ahorros son a largo plazo no hay de qué preocupase, ya que a largo plazo la bolsa siempre sube.

Esto es cierto, pero lo que no te dicen que puedes tardar hasta 10 años en recuperar lo que tenías. Un ejemplo se puede ver con las personas que invirtieron en 2000 y que perdieron más de un 40% de su patrimonio y no lo recuperaron hasta al menos finales de 2006 (si aguantaron las pérdidas y no tenían fuertes inversiones en el sector tecnológico).

evolución ibex

Al final, lo que mucha gente hace es camuflar un error de inversión y lo justifica diciendo que estaba invirtiendo a largo!

Aprovecho para comentar un caso personal mío. Yo tenía una cuenta en dólares cuando apareció el Euro, y hace 4 años necesitaba el dinero para compara una casa. Todos los bancos, y todos los asesores que conozco me dijeron que no lo desinvirtiese, ya que el cambio estaba a 1,1 $/€ y argumentaban que el euro y el dólar se igualaría. Les hice caso por un tiempo y al final vendí a 1,2$/€ perdiendo dinero. Pero me alegro de haber tomado esa decisión, ya que a día de hoy el cambio está a 1,35$/€ y parece que el euro va a seguir apreciándose y seguro no va a tener paridad con el dólar en el medio plazo.

euro dolar

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